This blog consists of comments from my real blog, http://scienceblogs.com/stoat/, which I don't want to publish there. Plus some other stuff convenient to place here. And its becoming a convenient place for me to dump my comments on other blogs so I can find them again.
William Connolley
ReplyDelete25. September 2014 at 21:07 | Permalink | Reply
Your comment is awaiting moderation.
$1000 is peanuts. Make it $10k and we’ve got something worth talking about. 2022 is too far out though, so we’d need to agree a closer period.
- See more at: http://notrickszone.com/2014/09/25/max-planck-institute-arctic-sea-ice-expert-i-wouldnt-put-money-on-further-decrease-of-ice-cover/#comment-976075
(and in reply, the rather difficult to parse:)
ReplyDeleteP Gosselin
25. September 2014 at 21:25 | Permalink | Reply
LOL – Okay Mr Big-Shot high roller! No, I think the periods are just fine as they are. Remember: Weather. Climate. Learn the difference!
Winston, in the days ahead I’ll tell you just how many scientists have been banging at my door to be the first to take me up on the bet. But first you’ll have to be patient – as I need time to first tabulate all the data. (sarc off)
- See more at: http://notrickszone.com/2014/09/25/max-planck-institute-arctic-sea-ice-expert-i-wouldnt-put-money-on-further-decrease-of-ice-cover/#comment-976103
(the sarc bit is confusing, too:)
DeleteWilliam Connolley
25. September 2014 at 22:51 | Permalink | Reply
Your comment is awaiting moderation.
Oh, and you ended your comment with “(sarc off)” but there’s no balancing “(sarc on)”. Should I therefore assume that your entire reply is sarcastic – i.e., non-serious? That appears to be the implication. If anything you said was actually serious, could you indicate where the “(sarc on)” should have been, please.
- See more at: http://notrickszone.com/2014/09/25/max-planck-institute-arctic-sea-ice-expert-i-wouldnt-put-money-on-further-decrease-of-ice-cover/#comment-976105
(so, we need to try to get him to clarify:)
ReplyDeleteWilliam Connolley
25. September 2014 at 22:48 | Permalink | Reply
Your comment is awaiting moderation.
“Okay… No” is rather hard to parse. Are you accepting the $10k, but insisting on your (cherry picked) period? Or are you rejecting anything above $1k?
- See more at: http://notrickszone.com/2014/09/25/max-planck-institute-arctic-sea-ice-expert-i-wouldnt-put-money-on-further-decrease-of-ice-cover/#comment-976103
(and since I wrote my own post:)
ReplyDeleteWilliam Connolley
25. September 2014 at 23:40 | Permalink | Reply
Your comment is awaiting moderation.
Good to see that you still fear me enough to put my comments in moderation and be slow about releasing them. I’ll get worried when I’m on the whitelist, or off the blacklist, whichever way you run it.
The $10k isn’t just available to our host; any of the usual blowhards here are welcome to try to come to terms; see http://scienceblogs.com/stoat/2014/09/25/probably-not-betting-on-sea-ice-again/
- See more at: http://notrickszone.com/2014/09/25/max-planck-institute-arctic-sea-ice-expert-i-wouldnt-put-money-on-further-decrease-of-ice-cover/#comment-976120
P Gosselin
Delete26. September 2014 at 09:03 | Permalink | Reply
You’re afflicted by all kinds of fantasies, it seems.
- See more at: http://notrickszone.com/2014/09/25/max-planck-institute-arctic-sea-ice-expert-i-wouldnt-put-money-on-further-decrease-of-ice-cover/#comment-976247
William Connolley
Delete26. September 2014 at 11:07 | Permalink | Reply
Your comment is awaiting moderation.
Are you interested in betting, or are you just playing propaganda games?
- See more at: http://notrickszone.com/2014/09/25/max-planck-institute-arctic-sea-ice-expert-i-wouldnt-put-money-on-further-decrease-of-ice-cover/#comment-976247
(PG is still running away:)
DeleteP Gosselin
26. September 2014 at 12:03 | Permalink | Reply
1. A “closer period” as you suggest is weather – not climate. So no bet on that.
2. My bet as is, is open to scientists, and not parrots.
3. The purpose is to find out if scientists are willing to bet on their projections. Here we see they are not.
- See more at: http://notrickszone.com/2014/09/25/max-planck-institute-arctic-sea-ice-expert-i-wouldnt-put-money-on-further-decrease-of-ice-cover/#comment-976369
(and we go on:)
DeleteWilliam Connolley
26. September 2014 at 17:13 | Permalink | Reply
Your comment is awaiting moderation.
My purpose is to see if you’re prepared to put your money where your mouth is; or if you’re just running a propaganda effort.
If you thought you could actually *win* you’d jump at a chance to take my money: that’s what betting for money if for. To win money. This isn’t a complicated concept. You wouldn’t care who you were betting with.
What you’re saying is that you don’t think you would win.
- See more at: http://notrickszone.com/2014/09/25/max-planck-institute-arctic-sea-ice-expert-i-wouldnt-put-money-on-further-decrease-of-ice-cover/#comment-976369